LC 00369

Specific outcomes

The goal of the pilot was accomplished at the end of the project: increase knowledge and awareness about the vulnerability of vital infrastructure to flooding and its cascading effects. The stakeholders were surprised (especially the municipality) by the cascading effects of an electricity failure in areas that will keep dry in case of a flooding (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019). Other results are:

-  Risk maps and table with the most vulnerable electricity grid assets

-  Knowledge gained translated into recommendations on effectiveness of measures and policy advise to the National Government

-   A flood threat warning app has been designed and needs to be tested (Electricity grid ppt, workshop in DK 2018). Based on the geolocation of the user, the app can inform about flood risk, flood impacts and the effective measures one can take (i.e. evacuate, shelter) in their area.

Process outcomes:

-         New networks with the electricity grid owners

-         Increase awareness about the vulnerability of electricity grid owners among stakeholders.

Flood risk management strategies (FRMS)

The next table shows the FRM strategies that were considered before, during and after FRAMES project. Based on the table, the outcome of the pilot enables a shift in FRG arrangements going from protection/ defence dominance to more complex FRG arrangements including prevention, preparedness and b enefiting also recovery.

Table 1 Flood risks management strategies in the pilot area/region considering the timeline of FRAMES' '

Layers of MLS	Before FRAMES	during FRAMES	after FRAMES
1.Protection/ defence	Hard infrastructure (dykes)	Hard infrastructure (Akkermans and de Kubber, 2017)	No changes in hard infrastructure (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).
2. Pro-action/ prevention via spatial planning	Low attention Spatial adaptation-Delta program (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019)	Risk maps with risk label for the most vulnerable assets with several scenarios (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019)	Implement spatial planning (Akkermans and de Kubber, 2017), restriction in flood prone areas, relocation of assets in the electricity network (De eigenschap “Reference” (als paginatype) met de invoerwaarde “Bestand:Eindrapport Frames Zeeland Engl </br>ish version def.pdf” bevat ongeldige tekens of is onvolledig en kan daarom onverwachte resultaten veroorzaken tijdens een opvraag- of annotatieproces.[[Media:Eindrapport Frames Zeeland Engl ish version def.pdf|Nelen & Schuurmans, 2018]])
3. Preparation & response	Low attention	Increase preparedness (plans for electricity failure and develop switch-off plan for the potential flooding locations); Evacuation plans based on risk label; Risk communication: risk hazard maps  (Nelen & Schuurmans, 2018)	Embed knowledge about vulnerability of vital infrastructure in spatial planning policies (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).
4. Recovery	Low attention	No changes in recovery (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).	No changes in recovery (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).

Lessons learnt so far

Knowledge needs for flood resilience

The knowledge generated through the pilot activities will be used to increase the awareness of electricity grid owners and National Government on the topic. The challenge is to embed this knowledge into new spatial planning policies (evacuation plans, grid reconstruction plans) (Nelen & Schuurmans, 2018).

Knowledge needs related to content:

Applying the MLS approach on studying the vulnerability of electricity grids in Zeeland brought together stakeholders that they never worked before. Thus, new relationships and trust were build that can result in further collaboration/cooperation in similar topics related to vital services in other parts of the country. Moreover, these projects result in knowledge based evidence to open up opportunities for changes in spatial planning policies.

o  Applying MLS approach

The Risk label method is a hazard-risk based approach used to analyse/map the risk of electricity assets in case of a flooding. This method is a result of the validation workshop. This method can be applied used for impact analysis of electricity networks in other areas (Nelen & Schuurmans, 2018).

o  Methods / techniques / tools applied to learn about vulnerabilities

An interactive 3D model was used to create the risk maps and the risk label method to assess the impact of assets failure in case of flooding (Nelen & Schuurmans, 2018).

More detailed local flood risk maps are useful to improve the management plans of the vulnerable electricity grid assets.

o  Methods / techniques to learn about impact on systems

Community based approach used to engage with all stakeholders resulted in new networks with electricity grid owners.

o  Methods / techniques community involvement

The challenge is to leverage the National Government to embed the knowledge gained into the spatial planning policies (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).

Main uncertainties / challenges encountered

Related to the decision making process of adaptive planning

o  (structural) barriers encountered through the implementation process

• Communicating low risks (low change, 1:4000) to stakeholders can be difficult at times. However, stakeholders were overwhelmed (specially the municipalities) about the cascading effects of electricity failure in areas that do not get flooded.

• It is very important keep information confidential (via written agreements) when needed because that builds trust and increases the motivation and collaboration among partners.

• It is extremely important to get the right people (power, knowledge, networks) actively involved right from the start of the project (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).

Dissemination and up-scaling of pilot results

• The outcomes of this pilot were presented at meeting with all the electricity grid owners in the region. This can be a starting point to conduct similar studies in other parts of the country and increase collaboration in this field of expertise. Moreover, this knowledge was translated into policy advise for the National Government with the chance of being included in the Nationale Omgeving Visie (“The national environment vision”) of 2021.

• The electricity grid owners will consider the risk maps with the high risk labels in their asset management plan for the coming 3-4 years. The risk maps can be used to take decision about the most vulnerable assets (maintenance, reallocation, reconstruction, etc.) (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).

• Similar vulnerability studies for other vital services (telecom, gas) and other climate change effects (droughts) could be executed (personal communication pilot manager electricity grid, January 16th, 2019).

Transnational exchange

What can the countries learn from each other considering the different layers of MLS approach?

·        Protection

·        Pro-action/prevention

·        Preparedness & response

·        Recovery

Referenties

• Handleiding 3D viewer Zeeland, Future Insight, 30 juni 2020.
• Risk label method EN, Nelen, Nelen, 11 juli 2020.
• Conceptueel article FRAMES, Nelen and Schuurmans, Nelen and Schuurmans, 20 mei 2018.
• Conceptueel article FRAMES english, Nelen and Schuurmans, Nelen and Schuurmans, 20 mei 2018.
• Water Resilient Electricity Network Zeeland Final report, Nelen en Schuurmans, Provincie Zeeland, 25 juli 2018.
• Baseline monitor Zeeland, Schumacher, E. and A. Leskens, Provincie Zeeland, 31 oktober 2017.